Illustrative example · simulated paper trade · not advice
LONG NVDA RSI(2) mean-reversion
This is a sample of the AI post-mortem format Premium users get on closed paper trades. The fill, prices, and P&L below are illustrative — not a live result and not a recommendation.
Thesis
NVDA had flushed from a 5-day high into the lower Bollinger band with RSI(2) printing 4.2 — historically a stretched short-term oversold print for this name in the paper universe. The desk's mean-reversion book is allowed to fade that kind of washout when the higher-timeframe trend filter is still up and there is no earnings gate in the next 48h.
Entry trigger
Limit buy 12 shares at 118.40 after RSI(2) crossed back up through 10 with a higher low on the 15-minute. Size was 1.2% of simulated equity, well inside the Conservative/Balanced per-name cap. Stop 116.90 (just under the session low); take-profit 121.10.
Exit
Take-profit filled at 121.05 into the VWAP reclaim. The position never tagged the stop. Hold time 6 hours. Paper P&L +2.24% on the trade, +0.03% on simulated NAV. Slippage in this lab is idealized — a live broker would likely have filled worse.
Lesson
The setup was textbook mean-reversion; the useful part was the earnings gate and the hard stop. A similar print the week prior was skipped because of an event window — that discipline is the product, not the 2% winner. This write-up is illustrative. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell NVDA, and hypothetical results are not indicative of future performance.